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| Understanding CriticismCritics have said in the past we give too much weight to rainfall and not enough to other environmental influences on upland bird reproduction and year round survival. We have asked those same critics to offer alternatives and have been offered environmental factors already disclaimed by direct in in-direct research. The final point we made elsewhere is that spring brood period rainfall is not the only element to our forecast it is the final for the year significant indicator of where the better hunting is to be found. Typically, by this point in the discussion, the critic has sealed his mind to all other than his thoughts. The killer is when we ask for a research citation for the "facts" the critic has armed himself with. And, that is not an idle question as we recognize that the best information is that which disinterested third parties provide. We seek that best information to add to our study effort. Rain FactorThis is the most common type of rain effect we experience in the central mid-west, or that of the localized rainfall. This radar picture is from June 5, 2006 when St. Joseph, Missouri (the center of the rain clouds) received 0.64 inches. The rest of the region much less.
The less frequent type of rain coverage is that which covers the entire region in a large area rainfall of long duration. EffectThe problem these types of localized rains create is that experienced this (2006) spring illustrated on our combined May and June rainfall map.
What we see on this map is that St. Joseph for the two month period received a total of 2.9 inches while an isolated south central Iowa collection station not too far away had 7.9 inches. That kind of disparity in a small area is common. How that effects ground nesting upland bird reproduction is that one county may have poor bird hunting while an hour drive in any other direction will have the hunter in good bird numbers. To this we offer the flexibility that all that travel to hunt always come prepared for a plan A and plan B. If a favored locality is not working due to earlier or current weather (an ice storm moved in) a short drive to another locality will save the trip. Have those Plan B maps and lodging listing in the truck.
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